Eleven cases of COVID-19 confirmed by local health unit Wednesday, including three under age 17

Local reproductive rate up, doubling time down - both going in the wrong direction

Eleven cases of COVID-19 were announced by the Simcoe Muskoka District Health Unit (SMDHU) on Wednesday, including three people under the age of 17.

There were four cases in Bradford, three in Barrie, two in New Tecumseth, and one each in Oro-Medonte and Adjala-Tosorontio in Wednesday’s update. One person each from Barrie, Bradford, and New Tecumseth are under the age of 17, while neither the Simcoe Muskoka Catholic District School Board nor the Simcoe County District School Board have confirmed that any schools are affected.

This comes as we hear from the SMDHU the local reproductive number, the average number of secondary cases that a new case will infect, has risen to 1.2 percent. “Anything over one means that our cases are growing, that the pandemic is growing. We definitely want it to be below one,” said the SMDHU’s medical officer of health Dr. Charles Gardner.

“The doubling time, the amount of time it takes before the number of cases we have a double is decreasing, it is now dropped to less than three months, to be precise, 87.3 days. this is down from 141 days last week,” Gardner added. “We want a long doubling time; the longer the doubling time, the better. If it’s shrinking, that means that where’s the pandemic is speeding up here. And that’s another way of measuring that, just like looking at the reproduction number.”