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Published October 4, 2023

Soaking in warm sunshine will change to soaking in cool showers Thanksgiving weekend

This streak of sunny, muggy and even record-breaking warmth across much of Ontario still has some legs, but not for much longer.

Unfortunately, Mother Nature will turn turkey in time for Thanksgiving weekend.

Until then, Environment Canada Senior Climatologist David Phillips says the weather of late has been a blessing.

"This is sort of an atmospheric gift. We thought September was gorgeous, and certainly in the Barrie area we had 26 days with temperatures above 20 when we normally would see 15, and we had a few days above 30."

"I mean, we change the month, and you think the weather is going to change, and boy, it has not been that way at all."

The high in Barrie on Tuesday reached 28.5 celsius, eclipsing the 25.2 set in 2005. A year ago, we had an overnight low of -1.9. And on October 3, 2018 there was snow on the ground.

The high-pressure system responsible for this warmth that has reached as far north as Moosonee will soon begin to break down.

"We're not going to hold it for the long weekend," says Phillips. "Unfortunately, we're going to see the weather change."

In fact, Phillips says the long weekend could be miserable, with temperatures that are going to be five degrees cooler than normal and some rain.

"You can't keep these extraordinary warm temperatures going forever."

Environment Canada is forecasting off-and-on showers for the long weekend, with a high of 14 on Saturday and the temperature struggling to reach 10 on Sunday and holiday Monday.

The normal daytime high in Barrie for this time of year is 16.

"I wouldn't write the obituary on summer-like weather quite yet," says Phillips. "This is a little interlude we're going to see on the weekend that's, unfortunately, a long weekend, but going forward, I think you can certainly count on more days that are close to 20 degrees or above."

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