A national approach to combating foreign interference, rather than on a riding-by-riding basis, may have cost Erin O'Toole his job and been unfair to voters, the former Conservative leader told a federal inquiry Wednesday.
It quickly became clear to O'Toole on election night in 2021 that he was not about to become prime minister — but he was nontheless startled by the disappointing results in a number of ridings, he testified.
His team had already flagged concerns about foreign interference in as many as nine ridings with the Security and Intelligence Threats to Elections Task Force, which includes representatives from CSIS, RCMP, Global Affairs Canada and the Communications Security Establishment.
When the results for those ridings came in, turnout and Conservative support in those ridings was far short ofwhat the party had expected to see based on their modelling, O'Toole said.
"The small number of seats would not have impacted the minority government that Canada has right now, but the difference of two, three, five seats may have allowed me more of a moral justification to remain as leader," he said.
O'Toole was one of several partisan witnesses taking the stand Wednesday at the federal commission of inquiry into foreign interference playing out in Ottawa.
A declassified intelligence report shown at the hearing drove home that O'Toole and the Conservative party were targets of Chinese interference efforts designed to promote false narratives online about the party's stance on China.
The commission expects to hear evidence that the intelligence community opted to take a national approach to foreign interference, focusing on the ultimate election result, rather than meddling that may have impacted individual votes or ridings, the lawyer for Conservative MP Michael Chong said Wednesday.
"To suggest that an election is free and fair from foreign interference is not accurate if some people are impacted, whether or not it flipped the result in a riding, or in a few ridings. Each vote matters," O'Toole said in response.
He shared his view as part of ongoing hearings are part of the inquiry's work examining possible foreign interference by China, India, Russia and others in the last two general elections.
The Conservatives mentioned China 31 times in their written election platform in 2021, and the party took what O'Toole described as a "stronger stance" on Beijing's human-rights violations than the Liberals.
An "information operation" spread messages on social media platforms WeChat and Douyin — the Chinese equivalent of TikTok — that said O'Toole and his party wanted "to break diplomatic ties with China," the report found.
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Some posts said that Chinese Canadians were scared of the Conservative platform, and questioned whether that community should support the party.
Warnings to voters and affected candidates were warranted in that election, O'Toole argued, but Tories said security officials didn't inform the party about the concerns. Officials only informed O'Toole that he was a target of meddling attempts last spring, he said.
The government's special rapporteur, David Johnston, had found little evidence of a link between the alleged interference attempts and the election result, and limited proof that misinformation attempts were tied to Beijing.
China strongly denies all claims it has meddled in Canadian democracy.
Commission lawyer Natalia Rodriguez asked whether Chinese Canadians may have simply been turned off by the Conservative platform, but O'Toole rejected the idea thatthe party's long-standing position was to blame.
At the very least, he said, parties and candidates believed to be targets of foreign interference should be made aware, and voters should be warned about active misinformation campaigns — especially when it comes to foreign-controlled social media platforms like WeChat.
Such warnings could target specific ridings in diaspora languages where security agencies have detected the greatest threats, he said.
"I've seen enough to know that the process last time failed, and failed a lot of Canadians," O'Toolesaid.
The commission of inquiry, led by Quebec judge Marie-Josée Hogue, expects to hear testimony from more than 40 people including community members, political party representatives and federal election officials.
Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, members of his cabinet and various senior government officials are also slated to appear at the hearings, which are set to conclude April 10.
An initial report of findings from the commission is due May 3.
The inquiry will then shift to broader policy issues, looking at the government's ability to detect, deter and counter foreign interference. A final report is expected by the end of the year.
This report by The Canadian Press was first published April 3, 2024.
Banner image: THE CANADIAN PRESS/Sean Kilpatrick
