Ontario could run out of intensive care beds soon even if rate of COVID-19 infection is cut in half – Study

Need to identify and create opportunities for additional capacity

A study by researchers at Toronto’s University Health Network suggests Ontario’s hospitals could run out of intensive care beds and ventilators within 37 days, even if we were able to cut the current Covid-19 infection rate in half.

CBC reports the researchers crunched the numbers based on what they call a ‘conservative scenario’ of a 7.5 per cent increase in cases per day. Over the past eight days the daily increases have averaged 26 per cent.

The researchers say their work is not intended to spark panic, but to put the pressures on the healthcare system into context and make a case for measures to rapidly identify and create opportunities for additional capacity.

As of Thursday, there were 258 confirmed cases of the virus in Ontario, including two deaths (in Barrie and Halton Region). Five people have recovered.

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